Please note that the programme is provisional at this stage and is subject to change - download (PDF)
| Thursday, 17 July | |
| 6.00-6.15pm | Registration in the Saïd Business School entrance hall |
| 6.15pm-7.20pm | Keynote lecture Sir Crispin Tickell, ‘Humans: Past, Present and Future’ |
| 7.20pm | Book launch and wine reception: Global Catastrophic Risks, eds. Nick Bostrom and Milan Cirkovic (OUP), Saïd Business School entrance hall |
| Friday, 18 July | |
| 09.30-10am | Coffee and welcome |
| 10.00am | Introductory words by Nick Bostrom |
| Theme: Contexts | |
| 10.30am | Jonathan Wiener, ‘The Tragedy of the Uncommons’ |
| 11.20 am | Pause |
| 11.25am | Eliezer Yudkowsky, ‘Rationally Considering the End of the World’ |
| 12.15pm | Pause |
| 12.20pm | Michelangelo Mangano, 'Expected and unexpected in the exploration of the fundamental laws of nature' |
| 1.10pm | Lunch |
| 2.00pm | James Hughes, ‘Avoiding Millennialist Cognitive Biases’ |
| 2.50pm | Pause |
| 2.55pm | Peter Taylor, ‘Insurance and Catastrophes’ |
| 3.45pm | Coffee |
| 4.05pm | Christopher Wills, ‘Disasters, Ecological Diversity, and the Future of Humanity’ |
| 4.55pm | Pause |
| 5.00pm | Robin Hanson, 'Catastrophe, Social Collapse, and Human Extinction' |
| 5.50pm | End of day |
Evening Optional Event: |
|
| 7.30pm | Pre-dinner drinks |
| 8.00pm | Dinner |
| Saturday, 19 July | |
| 09.30-10am | Coffee |
| Theme: Nature | |
| 10.00am | David Morrison, ‘Cosmic Impacts: The Most Extreme Global Catastrophes’ |
| 10.45am | Pause |
| 10.50am | Arnon Dar, ‘Cosmic Threats’ |
| 11.35pm | Pause |
| 11.40pm | William Napier, ‘Hazards from Comets and Asteroids’ |
| 12.25pm | Lunch |
| 1.15pm | Fred Adams, ‘Into the Dark: The Long Term Future of our Dying Universe’ |
| 2.05pm | Pause |
| 2.10pm | John Oxford, ‘Social, Scientific and Medical Lessons from the Great Influenza Pandemic of 1918’ |
| 3.00pm | Pause |
| 3.05pm | Ali Nouri, ‘Biotechnology and Biosecurity: Preventing Risks While Preserving Benefits’ |
| 3.55pm | Pause |
| Theme: Hostile Acts | |
| 4.00pm | Joseph Cirincione, ‘The Continuing Threat of Nuclear War’ |
| 4.55pm | Pause |
| 5.00pm | William Potter and Gary Ackerman, ‘Catastrophic Nuclear Terrorism: A Preventable Peril’ |
| 6.05pm | End of day |
| Evening Optional Event | |
| 7.00-8.45pm | Punting and Picnic. Meet at Magdalen Bridge punt station |
| Sunday, 20 July | |
| 09.30am | Steve Rayner, ‘Culture and the Credibility of Catastrophe’ |
| 10.20am | Pause |
| Theme: Unintended Consequences | |
| 10.25am | Eliezer Yudkowsky, ‘(Artificial) Intelligence: The Wild Card’ |
| 11.15am | Coffee |
| 11.35am | Mike Treder and Chris Phoenix, ‘Small Machines, Big Choices: The Looming Impacts of Molecular Manufacturing’ |
| 12.20pm | Rafaela Hillerbrand, Toby Ord and Anders Sandberg, ‘Probing the Improbable: Methodological Challenges for Risks with Low Probabilities and High Stakes’ |
| 1.00pm | Lunch |
| 1.50pm | Dave Frame, ‘Climate Change, Catastrophe and Uncertainty’ |
| 2.40pm | Milan Cirkovic: closing words |
| 3.00pm | Close |